Kuminga is the focal point of Golden State’s offseason stalemate. As a restricted free agent who reportedly rejected the Warriors’ offer, his status could trigger a sign-and-trade or a midseason move, reshaping how the rotation is constructed around Curry, Butler and Green. His return preserves the core but limits external upgrades; departure could unlock minutes for Moody and other wings while forcing the Warriors to recalibrate their long-term plans.

Kuminga’s restricted free agency is the hinge on which Horford’s possible move turns. His status will shape Warriors’ cap space and tax planning, with a resolution either enabling a veteran add or forcing a leaner roster. Kuminga’s path is crucial for Golden State’s ability to balance youth with veteran presence as they chase another championship window.

Kuminga, 22, unsigned as rival teams reportedly pursue cap-friendly sign-and-trade routes. His youth and development trajectory keep him central to Golden State’s long-term plans, with the market dynamic shaping whether GS signs him outright or through a trade.

Kuminga believes he belongs at the Cade Cunningham–Scottie Barnes tier in terms of value, fueling a contract dispute with the Warriors. His ceiling remains tantalizing, but without proven multi-year impact, the market won’t readily grant a max. A potential $7.9M qualifying offer could shape his 2025-26 path, with trade rumors complicating his immediate fantasy upside.

Kuminga, the Warriors’ former lottery pick, is at the center of a contract stalemate. He’s pushing for a player-friendly deal that signals he is a long-term building block rather than a trade asset. The negotiations have produced concepts but await concrete movement, with Kuminga aiming to maximize security and status on a championship-focused team.